According to a new survey from Fannie Mae, credit availability is improving. For the first time in over three years, the majority of consumers believe it's easier to get a mortgage.
Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae's chief economist said, "The gradual upward trend in this indicator during the last few months bodes well for the housing recovery and may be contributing to this month's increase in consumers' intention to buy rather than rent their next home."
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) says consumers are correct - credit availability has increased, particularly in the jumbo and refinance loan markets.
Explained Mike Fratatoni, chief economist for the MBA, "The market continues to adapt to the new QM [Qualified Mortgage] regulation by eliminating products that do not fit inside of the QM box. This tightening is being offset, both in the market for higher balance loans, where lenders continue to loosen terms for jumbo loans, and in the refi market, where more lenders are offering streamline refinance programs."
But there could be other reasons that credit is more available. Credit reporting agency Transunion announced that the mortgage delinquency rate for the fourth quarter of 2013 was 3.85 percent, down from 5.08 percent.
Delinquencies have been steadily declining over the past two years, while improved home sales and rising prices have allowed many homeowners on the edge of delinquency to sell their homes and get into something more affordable.
Credit has been extraordinarily tight since 2008, as lenders struggled with federal claims of mortgage fraud. For years, lenders raised credit standards beyond what was required to qualify for federally guaranteed loans and loans destined for purchase by the securities industry.
As the government leveled fines and made repayment settlements with many of the big banks, lenders are more willing to make mortgage loans. With the most toxic loans before 2008 foreclosed and disposed, lenders have more confidence in loans generated since them.
In fact, Transunion also reported that more loans were generated to borrowers with less-than-perfect credit in Q4 2013.
"We are on the downward slope of the mortgage delinquency curve, so we expect to continue seeing delinquency rates that have not been seen for several years," said Steve Chaouki, head of financial services for TransUnion.
With job gains growing, relatively low interest rates available and a tight supply of homes insuring equity gains, mortgage delinquencies should continue declining, and buyers should feel more confident in their decision to buy a home in 2014. bevans
As the housing market heats up again following the slowdown of the past few years, many consumers will try to buy a home for the first time or upgrade a home with a mortgage that had previously been underwater. If you fall into either camp, you should know that a new set of rules passed as part of the Dodd-Frank Act – enacted in response to the financial crisis of the late 2000s – will go into effect Jan. 10, 2014. The rules will require lenders of qualified mortgages to conduct more thorough analyses of mortgage applicants' financial information to ensure applicants can afford to repay the loan.
According to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, under the Ability-to-Repay rule, the lender generally must consider eight factors. These include your current income or assets, current employment status, credit history, the monthly payment for the mortgage (based on the highest interest rate if it's an adjustable rate mortgage, not an introductory teaser rate) and your monthly debt payments (including the mortgage) compared to your monthly pre-tax income, which is your debt-to-income ratio.
Under the new rules, you'll generally need a debt-to-income ratio of less than 43 percent to obtain a qualified mortgage that's underwritten based on standards considered safe for consumers. Federal rules state that the term of the loan cannot exceed 30 years, and the points and fees paid by the borrower cannot exceed 3 percent of the total loan amount (not including bonafide points or discount points used to pay down the rate of the loan). Under the new rules, qualified mortgages also cannot have risky features such as an interest-only period, when the borrower pays only interest without paying down the principal.
[See: 10 Things to Watch When Interest Rates Go Up.]
"This sets the bar higher for consumers and changes the game in terms of how people lend and how they qualify that consumer," says Cameron Findlay, chief economist at Discover Home Loans in Irvine, Calif. He estimates that roughly 10 to 15 percent of consumers will not be able to obtain a qualified mortgage and predicts that this will have the largest impact on moderate earners and minorities, especially in higher-cost real estate markets on the coasts. "You'll see some consumers in Midwest regions be in a better position where these rules won't be as impactful" because home prices aren't as expensive, he says. Consumers who do not get a qualified mortgage may pay upward of 100 basis points – 1 percent – on the loan, according to Findlay.
Other mortgage insiders predict a less dramatic impact on prospective home-buyers. "Industry wide, a lot of people [are] freaking out," says Michael Rosenbaum, a mortgage loan originator with First California Mortgage Company. "There's minor shaving of the debt-to-income ratio, but the vast majority of my borrowers are not qualifying at the upper limits. I'm just not finding that everybody wants to push their margins." He says many mortgage originators already look at the same criteria that the new rules require, and there's still some flexibility for underwriting in certain situations. For instance, a self-employed borrower may still be able to qualify with a debt-to-income ratio higher than 43 percent if his or her finances are strong in other areas.
[Read: What to Know Before Gifting a Down Payment.]
While underwriting standards for conventional loans are tightening up due to new rules, David Reyes, chief investment officer at Reyes Financial Architecture, Inc. in San Diego and a former mortgage banker, says jumbo lenders (those who lend amounts larger than a conventional conforming mortgage) are actually easing up their underwriting requirements in some cases. "The actual jumbo interest rates are almost on par with conforming loans, and you're seeing one-year tax returns with some banks," he says. "Especially the community banks are being more aggressive with income qualifications for self-employed borrowers, which is something you haven't really seen since 2005 or 2006." ymears
good articles; lenders are definitely scrutinizing prospective buyers in light of the Dodd-Frank new regulations... however, listed properties in my area are going under contract within 7 days of being listed; I'm sure not all of the sales are cash sales...
Valerie
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